For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs. Washingtons offense ranked 21st in overall DVOA last season and doesnt project to improve much in 2022 despite the addition of Carson Wentz. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. I am a heretic in that regard. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? David Montgomery Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History | Stadium Talk The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. His current draft price is almost his upside. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Is the 40 Yard Dash the Most Overrated Test for Running | STACK Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. The Greatest 30 Running Backs in NFL History, Ranked - Alot Living 5 / 30. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Why Bo Jackson is the Most Overrated Player of All Time "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time - TheSportster Thats the first thing we notice. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - TheTopTens 2022/07/02 . Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Barkley is a workhorse. 5. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. . Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. Jadeveon Clowney pegged as Cleveland Browns most overrated player Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. NFL's Most Overrated/Underrated QBs, RBs and WRs The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Unless his ADP falls a bit, he's a pass where he's being drafted right now. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. So what's the concern? McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Simpson 13. Most overrated qbs of all time | Acrylic The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. Single There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer (MGM) #26. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. 24 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. The fact is, he never . But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. Madden 21 Ratings: NFL's most underrated and overrated players 24 Overrated RBs. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. Then we have the Taysom Hill conundrum. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. San Francisco 49ers: All-time underrated, overrated players - NFL.com When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Chris "Beanie" Wells. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. But then he missed a game, the Bears had a bye, and he finished at a torrid pace of 25.7 points per game as the overall RB1 from Weeks 12 to 17. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Walter Payton 5. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Sigmund Bloom: The Raiders are going to adopt a frustrating Patriots-style committee at running back under Josh McDaniels, which means that Jacobs will be at best Damien Harris in this offense. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Kansas City had 40 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores. Marshall Faulk 7. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. His average DVOA of 0.085% would rank him 31st in the NFL in 2009, right behind Rashard Mendenhall. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. No thanks. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Top 20 Most Overrated NFL Players Of All Time | TheRichest It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. Wait until next year. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. 1 status. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time - TheTopTens 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Fred Taylor James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. The only reason Johnson had fantasy value last year was a superhuman effort from Deshaun Watson to move the offense and produce points. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup He's more powerful and understands how to work between the tackles. Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. The 100 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - Bleacher Report These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. Most Overrated RB Of All-Time - Bleacher Report Its a knock on his offensive line. 5. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Andrew Davenport: Montgomery was the 26th-ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest through nine games last year. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. Top 50 Running Backs of All Time List - Sports Articles Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. We've seen J.D. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. 15 receptions, 111 yards, less than a TD per year. Jamaal Williams is a fine receiver, route runner, and red-zone back who will limit Swift's upside to a low-end fantasy RB2, at best. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Arizona Cardinals: All-time underrated, overrated players But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. The current regime did not select Robinson. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. World's top 10 most overrated football players in history He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. Green Bay seems to like A.J. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing.
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